How the engine works —
and how it stays honest
Fifteen specialist agents read every market from a different angle and merge into one 0–100 signal. Every forecast is written down before the outcome — so the track record below is the real one, not a curated one.
A signal, not advice
We hand you a calibrated read and the reasoning behind it. The decision — and the risk — always stays yours.
Recorded before the outcome
Each forecast — direction, probability and targets — is written with a due date before the market moves. Cherry-picking is impossible.
Graded on real prices
When the horizon ends the record is scored against the actual close: direction hit or miss, and a Brier score for probability quality.
From fifteen reads to one accountable signal
Fifteen agents read the market
Trend, momentum, volume, derivatives, levels, news, narrative, catalysts and fundamentals — each specialist agent scores the same symbol from a different angle, on a dynamic universe with no static coin or stock lists.
One calibrated 0–100 signal
Agent reads are weighted by reliability and the current market regime, conflicts are resolved and disagreement is penalized — then merged into a single score with bull/bear scenario targets.
Every forecast is recorded first
Before the outcome is known, the forecast — direction lean, probability and targets — is written to the database with a due date. There is no way to quietly drop a bad call later.
Graded against real prices
When the horizon elapses the record is scored with the actual market price: was the direction right, and how well-calibrated was the stated probability (Brier score).
The engine learns per class & symbol
Calibration pools are kept separate for crypto, stocks and funds, so accuracy in one class never inflates another. As history accumulates, individual symbols earn their own calibration.
Fifteen agents, five families, one decision
Each family reads a different dimension of the market. They never overwrite each other — the Decision Agent is the only synthesizer, and every input stays logged as data.
Synthesis
Merge every read into the 0–100 score, project scenarios, explain it in plain language and recalibrate from the track record.
Price & trend
Classify the trend regime, measure momentum and volatility, and read the weighted composite mood across signals.
Flow & positioning
Where volume actually trades, and how crowded the derivatives book is — funding, open interest and taker balance.
Narrative & catalysts
What a coin is and how much attention it draws, the macro event calendar, a 0–100 universe screen and the live news flow.
Fundamentals
For stocks: the earnings calendar as event risk, and relative valuation z-scores versus each name's own market.
Two honest questions
- Direction accuracy
- Of every graded forecast, what share had its direction lean match the real move. 50% is a coin flip; anything durable above it must be earned across a real sample.
- Brier score
- How well-calibrated the stated probability was — lower is better. 0.25 is the score of always guessing 50/50; below it means the confidence numbers actually mean something.
- 1RecordForecast + due date saved before the move.
- 2WaitThe horizon plays out, untouched.
- 3GradeScored on the real close — win or lose, it counts.
Straight from the forecast database
Ungroomed and per class. History is young — treat small samples with the caution they deserve, and watch them harden over time.
| Horizon | Graded | Direction accuracy (excl. flat) | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1D | 4(3 dir · 1 flat) | insufficient data (0% · 3) | 0.338 |
| Horizon | Graded | Direction accuracy (excl. flat) | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1D | 24(15 dir · 9 flat) | 46.7% | 0.257 |
Open (not yet graded) forecasts: 605
What the score is
- A calibrated 0–100 read of the balance of evidence, right now.
- A transparent, recorded-before-outcome track record you can audit.
- A starting point for your own research and risk sizing.
What it is not
- A promise, a guarantee or a target you should trade blindly.
- Investment, financial or tax advice of any kind.
- A substitute for your own judgement and risk management.
See the signal on any market
Crypto, US & EU stocks, BIST and TEFAS funds — one 0–100 signal, fifteen agents, free to start.
Signals, not advice. Nothing on this page is investment advice; past accuracy does not guarantee future results. You make the final decision.